Who won South Africa vs Canada at the World Cup 2026?

Canada beat South Africa in Match 73 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was South Africa 0–1 Canada; the xG was South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38.

What was the xG in South Africa vs Canada?

South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were South Africa 0.37 and Canada 2.37.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 73 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

South Africa 0–1 Canada xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 73 has a post-match xG result: South Africa 0–1 Canada. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Canada advanced from Match 73

Canada advanced with an xG edge (1.38–0.14 xG), winning 0–1.

Score: 0–1
xG: 0.14–1.38
Match xPts: 0.37–2.37

Full match page: South Africa 0–1 Canada

xG verdict

Did Canada deserve to beat South Africa by xG?

Yes. Canada advanced 1–0 and also led the match xG 1.38–0.14. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won South Africa vs Canada at the World Cup 2026?: Canada beat South Africa in Match 73 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was South Africa 0–1 Canada; the xG was South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38.
Did Canada deserve to beat South Africa by xG?: Yes. Canada advanced 1–0 and also led the match xG 1.38–0.14. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in South Africa vs Canada?: South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were South Africa 0.37 and Canada 2.37.
Was South Africa 0–1 Canada fair by xG?: Canada advanced with an xG edge (1.38–0.14 xG), winning 0–1.

Group-stage xG form

Match 73

South Africa

second in Group A

Pts: 4
xPts: 3.46
Δ: +0.54
xGF: 2.61
xGA: 3.38
xGD: -0.77

Match 73

Canada

second in Group B

Pts: 4
xPts: 6.24
Δ: -2.24
xGF: 7.49
xGA: 2.29
xGD: +5.20

How they got here

South Africa reached this slot as second in Group A with 4 pts, 3.46 xPts, xGF 2.61, xGA 3.38, Δ +0.54. Canada reached this slot as second in Group B with 4 pts, 6.24 xPts, xGF 7.49, xGA 2.29, Δ -2.24.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · South Africa team page · Canada team page.