South Africa 0–1 Canada
Canada advanced with an xG edge (1.38–0.14 xG), winning 0–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won South Africa vs Canada?
- Canada won 1–0 and advanced. The xG was South Africa 0.14, Canada 1.38.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in South Africa vs Canada?
- Canada had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.38–0.14 and winning 1–0.
- Fair resultWas South Africa 0–1 Canada fair by xG?
- Yes. Canada won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Canada advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.38–0.14 xG). Match xPts: South Africa 0.37, Canada 2.37. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
- Ranking contextWas South Africa 0–1 Canada a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. South Africa entered 40th of 48 in the World Cup field; Canada entered 27th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.38–0.14.
| Score | 0–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38 |
| Match xPts | South Africa 0.37 · Canada 2.37 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | South Africa FIFA #60 (40th of 48) · Canada FIFA #30 (27th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in South Africa vs Canada?
Canada created the better chances — 1.38–0.14 xG, an edge of 1.24. And Canada duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were South Africa 0.37 and Canada 2.37; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was South Africa lucky or unlucky?
South Africa were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.14 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.38 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
Was Canada lucky or unlucky?
Canada were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.38 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.14 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
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