Who won Paraguay vs France at the World Cup 2026?

France beat Paraguay in Match 90 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was Paraguay 0–1 France; the xG was Paraguay 0.13 · France 1.45.

What was the xG in Paraguay vs France?

Paraguay 0.13 · France 1.45. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Paraguay 0.34 and France 2.41.

World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 90 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Paraguay 0–1 France xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 result

Match 90 has a post-match xG result: Paraguay 0–1 France. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Round of 16 result

France advanced from Match 90

France advanced with an xG edge (1.45–0.13 xG), winning 0–1.

Score: 0-1
xG: 0.13-1.45
Match xPts: 0.34-2.41

Full match page: Paraguay 0–1 France

xG verdict

Did France deserve to beat Paraguay by xG?

Yes. France advanced 1-0 and also led the match xG 1.45-0.13. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Paraguay vs France at the World Cup 2026?: France beat Paraguay in Match 90 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was Paraguay 0–1 France; the xG was Paraguay 0.13 · France 1.45.
Did France deserve to beat Paraguay by xG?: Yes. France advanced 1-0 and also led the match xG 1.45-0.13. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Paraguay vs France?: Paraguay 0.13 · France 1.45. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Paraguay 0.34 and France 2.41.

Relevant xG stories

BREAKING:

Germany eliminated despite 1.57-0.35 xG edge

Paraguay advanced after 1–1 (3–4 pens); Germany had the stronger chance profile, but the shootout swung the bracket.

Group D story

Turkiye finished fourth despite 5.94 xPts

Turkiye were first in Group D by xPts and xGF but finished fourth. The Paraguay loss remains the swing: 2.17-0.32 xG, zero points.

Path so far

Match 74 · Final

Paraguay reached this round through Germany

Germany 1–1 (3–4 pens) Paraguay.

Match xG: Germany 1.57 · Paraguay 0.35

Match 77 · Final

France reached this round through Sweden

France 3–0 Sweden.

Match xG: France 3.24 · Sweden 0.70

Tournament xG form

Match 90

Paraguay

winner of Match 74

Total xGF: 1.58
Total xGA: 7.16
Total xGD: -5.58
Group xPts: 1.88
Group Δ: +2.12
KO xG: 0.48-3.02

Paraguay reached this round through Germany 1–1 (3–4 pens) Paraguay, with 0.35-1.57 xG against Germany.

Match 90

France

winner of Match 77

Total xGF: 17.53
Total xGA: 8.34
Total xGD: +9.19
Group xPts: 6.07
Group Δ: +2.93
KO xG: 11.57-5.48

France reached this round through France 4–6 England, with 2.88-2.88 xG against England.

How they got here

Paraguay reached this slot as winner of Match 74. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 1.58, xGA 7.16, xGD -5.58; the group-stage baseline was 4 group points, 1.88 group-stage xPts, xGF 1.10, xGA 4.14, points-vs-xPts Δ +2.12.

France reached this slot as winner of Match 77. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 17.53, xGA 8.34, xGD +9.19; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.07 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.96, xGA 2.86, points-vs-xPts Δ +2.93.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Paraguay team page · France team page.