Paraguay 0–1 France
France advanced with an xG edge (1.36–0.15 xG), winning 0–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Paraguay vs France?
- France won 1–0 and advanced. The xG was Paraguay 0.15, France 1.36.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Paraguay vs France?
- France had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.36–0.15 and winning 1–0.
- Fair resultWas Paraguay 0–1 France fair by xG?
- Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- France advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.36–0.15 xG). Match xPts: Paraguay 0.39, France 2.35. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
- Ranking contextWas Paraguay 0–1 France a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Paraguay entered 33rd of 48 in the World Cup field; France entered 3rd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.36–0.15.
| Score | 0–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Paraguay 0.15 · France 1.36 |
| Match xPts | Paraguay 0.39 · France 2.35 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Paraguay FIFA #41 (33rd of 48) · France FIFA #3 (3rd of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Paraguay vs France?
France created the better chances — 1.36–0.15 xG, an edge of 1.21. And France duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Paraguay 0.39 and France 2.35; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Paraguay lucky or unlucky?
Paraguay were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.15 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.36 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
Was France lucky or unlucky?
France were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.36 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.15 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
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