xG 3.69 – 0.14 · xPts 2.91 – 0.05 · Knockout stage
France advanced with an xG edge (3.69–0.14 xG), winning 2–0.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 23 August 2026, 09:57 ET · 1 match, 2 goals, 3.83 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 9 July was France 2–0 Morocco. France advanced with an xG edge (3.69–0.14 xG), winning 2–0.
France advanced with an xG edge (3.69–0.14 xG), winning 2–0.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.