xG 2.88 – 2.88 · xPts 1.41 – 1.41 · Knockout stage
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 4–6 (2.88–2.88 xG).
Latest available post-match xG · updated 19 July 2026, 00:29 ET · 1 match, 10 goals, 5.76 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 18 July was France 4–6 England. England advanced from a balanced knockout game 4–6 (2.88–2.88 xG).
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 4–6 (2.88–2.88 xG).
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.