Spain 1–0 Argentina

Knockout xG verdict

Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Spain vs Argentina?
Spain won 1–0 and advanced. The xG was Spain 2.29, Argentina 0.22.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Spain vs Argentina?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.29–0.22 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Spain 1–0 Argentina fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.29–0.22 xG). Match xPts: Spain 2.67, Argentina 0.20. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Score1–0
Expected goals (xG)Spain 2.29 · Argentina 0.22
Match xPtsSpain 2.67 · Argentina 0.20
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankSpain FIFA #1 (1st of 48) · Argentina FIFA #2 (2nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Spain vs Argentina?

Spain created the better chances — 2.29–0.22 xG, an edge of 2.07. And Spain duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Spain 2.67 and Argentina 0.20; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 2.29 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.22 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

Was Argentina lucky or unlucky?

Argentina were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.22 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 2.29 xGA faced. Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

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