Australia 2–0 Turkiye

The xG verdict

Australia edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.18–1.36 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Australia vs Turkiye?
Australia won 2–0. The xG was Australia 1.18, Turkiye 1.36.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Australia vs Turkiye?
The xG was close to level (Australia 1.18, Turkiye 1.36), so Australia's 2–0 win was narrow rather than a major points-vs-xPts swing.
Fair resultWas Australia 2–0 Turkiye fair by xG?
Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Australia took 3 points from 1.24 xPts (Δ +1.76), the biggest points-vs-chances swing in the match.
Score2–0
Expected goals (xG)Australia 1.18 · Turkiye 1.36
Expected points (xPts)Australia 1.24 · Turkiye 1.49
StageGroup D
Published FIFA rankAustralia FIFA #27 (24th of 48) · Turkiye FIFA #22 (20th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Australia vs Turkiye?

By expected goals, Australia vs Turkiye was a near-even contest — Australia 1.18 xG, Turkiye 1.36. Australia took the points 2–0, but the underlying chances were close to level. In expected points, Australia earned 1.24 and Turkiye 1.49 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.76 for Australia, -1.49 for Turkiye).

Was Australia lucky or unlucky?

Australia were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.18 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 1.36 xGA faced. On balance a fortunate return — more than the chances merited (Δ +1.76).

Was Turkiye lucky or unlucky?

Turkiye were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 1.36 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.18 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.49).

What Australia 2–0 Turkiye means for Group D

Australia sit 2nd in Group D on 4 points (3.51 xPts, Δ +0.49); Turkiye sit 4th on 3 points (5.94 xPts, Δ -2.94). See the full Group D table →

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