Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia

The xG verdict

Colombia edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.16–1.61 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Colombia won 3–1. The xG was Uzbekistan 1.16, Colombia 1.61.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Colombia had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.61–1.16 and winning 3–1.
Fair resultWas Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia fair by xG?
Yes. Colombia won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Colombia turned a clear xG edge (1.61–1.16) into the full three points, finishing with 1.68 xPts (Δ +1.32).
Ranking contextWas Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Uzbekistan entered 37th of 48 in the World Cup field; Colombia entered 12th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.61–1.16.
Score1–3
Expected goals (xG)Uzbekistan 1.16 · Colombia 1.61
Expected points (xPts)Uzbekistan 1.07 · Colombia 1.68
StageGroup K
Published FIFA rankUzbekistan FIFA #50 (37th of 48) · Colombia FIFA #13 (12th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Uzbekistan vs Colombia?

Colombia created the better chances — 1.61–1.16 xG, an edge of 0.45. And Colombia duly won 3–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Uzbekistan earned 1.07 and Colombia 1.68 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -1.07 for Uzbekistan, +1.32 for Colombia).

Was Uzbekistan lucky or unlucky?

Uzbekistan were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.16 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.61 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.07).

Was Colombia lucky or unlucky?

Colombia were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.61 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.16 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.32).

What Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia means for Group K

Uzbekistan sit 4th in Group K on 0 points (1.45 xPts, Δ -1.45); Colombia sit 1st on 7 points (5.45 xPts, Δ +1.55). See the full Group K table →

17 June xG recap · Uzbekistan · Colombia · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results