Portugal 1–1 DR Congo

The xG verdict

An even contest (0.65–0.87 xG) finished 1–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Portugal vs DR Congo?
It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Portugal 0.65, DR Congo 0.87.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Portugal vs DR Congo?
The draw was a fair xG outcome: Portugal 0.65 xG, DR Congo 0.87.
Fair resultWas Portugal 1–1 DR Congo fair by xG?
Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
DR Congo took only 1 point from 1.51 xPts (Δ -0.51), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Portugal 1–1 DR Congo a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly. DR Congo entered 36th of 48 in the World Cup field; Portugal entered 5th of 48. The lower-ranked side did not win, but it did lead the xG battle 0.87–0.65.
Score1–1
Expected goals (xG)Portugal 0.65 · DR Congo 0.87
Expected points (xPts)Portugal 1.13 · DR Congo 1.51
StageGroup K
Published FIFA rankPortugal FIFA #5 (5th of 48) · DR Congo FIFA #46 (36th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Portugal vs DR Congo?

By expected goals, Portugal vs DR Congo was a near-even contest — Portugal 0.65 xG, DR Congo 0.87. The 1–1 draw is roughly what the balance of chances deserved. In expected points, Portugal earned 1.13 and DR Congo 1.51 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.13 for Portugal, -0.51 for DR Congo).

Was Portugal lucky or unlucky?

Portugal were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.65 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.87 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.13).

Was DR Congo lucky or unlucky?

DR Congo were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.87 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.65 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.51).

What Portugal 1–1 DR Congo means for Group K

Portugal sit 2nd in Group K on 5 points (4.72 xPts, Δ +0.28); DR Congo sit 3rd on 4 points (4.93 xPts, Δ -0.93). See the full Group K table →

17 June xG recap · Portugal · DR Congo · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results