Iraq 1–4 Norway
Norway backed up their xG edge (2.52–0.80 xG), winning 1–4.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Iraq vs Norway?
- Norway won 4–1. The xG was Iraq 0.80, Norway 2.52.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Iraq vs Norway?
- Norway had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.52–0.80 and winning 4–1.
- Fair resultWas Iraq 1–4 Norway fair by xG?
- Yes. Norway won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Norway turned a clear xG edge (2.52–0.80) into the full three points, finishing with 2.40 xPts (Δ +0.60).
- Ranking contextWas Iraq 1–4 Norway a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Iraq entered 39th of 48 in the World Cup field; Norway entered 28th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.52–0.80.
| Score | 1–4 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Iraq 0.80 · Norway 2.52 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Iraq 0.45 · Norway 2.40 |
| Stage | Group I |
| Published FIFA rank | Iraq FIFA #57 (39th of 48) · Norway FIFA #31 (28th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Iraq vs Norway?
Norway created the better chances — 2.52–0.80 xG, an edge of 1.72. And Norway duly won 4–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Iraq earned 0.45 and Norway 2.40 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.45 for Iraq, +0.60 for Norway).
Was Iraq lucky or unlucky?
Iraq were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.80 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 2.52 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.45).
Was Norway lucky or unlucky?
Norway were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 2.52 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.80 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.60).
What Iraq 1–4 Norway means for Group I
Iraq sit 4th in Group I on 0 points (0.86 xPts, Δ -0.86); Norway sit 2nd on 6 points (5.59 xPts, Δ +0.41). See the full Group I table →
16 June xG recap · Iraq · Norway · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results