France 3–1 Senegal
France backed up their xG edge (1.79–0.53 xG), winning 3–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won France vs Senegal?
- France won 3–1. The xG was France 1.79, Senegal 0.53.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in France vs Senegal?
- France had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.79–0.53 and winning 3–1.
- Fair resultWas France 3–1 Senegal fair by xG?
- Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- France turned a clear xG edge (1.79–0.53) into the full three points, finishing with 2.26 xPts (Δ +0.74).
- Ranking contextWas France 3–1 Senegal a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Senegal entered 14th of 48 in the World Cup field; France entered 3rd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.79–0.53.
| Score | 3–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | France 1.79 · Senegal 0.53 |
| Expected points (xPts) | France 2.26 · Senegal 0.53 |
| Stage | Group I |
| Published FIFA rank | France FIFA #3 (3rd of 48) · Senegal FIFA #15 (14th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in France vs Senegal?
France created the better chances — 1.79–0.53 xG, an edge of 1.26. And France duly won 3–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, France earned 2.26 and Senegal 0.53 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.74 for France, -0.53 for Senegal).
Was France lucky or unlucky?
France were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.79 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.53 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.74).
Was Senegal lucky or unlucky?
Senegal were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.53 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.79 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.53).
What France 3–1 Senegal means for Group I
France sit 1st in Group I on 9 points (6.06 xPts, Δ +2.94); Senegal sit 3rd on 3 points (4.50 xPts, Δ -1.50). See the full Group I table →
16 June xG recap · France · Senegal · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results