Jordan 1–2 Algeria

The xG verdict

Algeria backed up their xG edge (1.89–0.63 xG), winning 1–2.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Jordan vs Algeria?
Algeria won 2–1. The xG was Jordan 0.63, Algeria 1.89.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Jordan vs Algeria?
Algeria had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.89–0.63 and winning 2–1.
Fair resultWas Jordan 1–2 Algeria fair by xG?
Yes. Algeria won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Algeria turned a clear xG edge (1.89–0.63) into the full three points, finishing with 2.23 xPts (Δ +0.77).
Ranking contextWas Jordan 1–2 Algeria a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Jordan entered 42nd of 48 in the World Cup field; Algeria entered 25th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.89–0.63.
Score1–2
Expected goals (xG)Jordan 0.63 · Algeria 1.89
Expected points (xPts)Jordan 0.56 · Algeria 2.23
StageGroup J
Published FIFA rankJordan FIFA #63 (42nd of 48) · Algeria FIFA #28 (25th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Jordan vs Algeria?

Algeria created the better chances — 1.89–0.63 xG, an edge of 1.26. And Algeria duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Jordan earned 0.56 and Algeria 2.23 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.56 for Jordan, +0.77 for Algeria).

Was Jordan lucky or unlucky?

Jordan were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.63 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.89 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.56).

Was Algeria lucky or unlucky?

Algeria were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.89 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.63 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.77).

What Jordan 1–2 Algeria means for Group J

Jordan sit 4th in Group J on 0 points (1.62 xPts, Δ -1.62); Algeria sit 3rd on 4 points (4.31 xPts, Δ -0.31). See the full Group J table →

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