Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia

Knockout xG verdict

Switzerland advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 0–0 (4–3 pens) (0.35–1.03 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Switzerland vs Colombia?
Switzerland advanced on penalties after 0–0 (4–3 pens). The xG was Switzerland 0.35, Colombia 1.03.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Switzerland vs Colombia?
Colombia had the better xG profile, leading the chance quality 1.03–0.35, but Switzerland advanced on penalties after 0–0 (4–3 pens).
Fair resultWas Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia fair by xG?
No by chance quality. Switzerland advanced on penalties, but Colombia had the stronger xG profile.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Switzerland advanced, but Colombia had the stronger chance profile (1.03–0.35 xG). Match xPts: Switzerland 0.72, Colombia 1.93. In knockouts, xPts is chance context only; the score decides who advances.
Ranking contextWas Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia a published FIFA ranking upset?
Yes on the scoreboard, but not by xG. Switzerland entered 18th of 48 in the World Cup field; Colombia entered 12th of 48. Switzerland advanced after Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia, while the xG was 0.35–1.03 from the lower-ranked team's view.
Score0–0 (4–3 pens)
Expected goals (xG)Switzerland 0.35 · Colombia 1.03
Match xPtsSwitzerland 0.72 · Colombia 1.93
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankSwitzerland FIFA #19 (18th of 48) · Colombia FIFA #13 (12th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Switzerland vs Colombia?

Colombia created the better chances — 1.03–0.35 xG, an edge of 0.68. Yet Switzerland advanced on penalties after 0–0 (4–3 pens), a result that defied the expected goals. Match xPts were Switzerland 0.72 and Colombia 1.93; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Switzerland lucky or unlucky?

Switzerland were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.35 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 1.03 xGA faced. They advanced on penalties despite the weaker chance profile.

Was Colombia lucky or unlucky?

Colombia were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 1.03 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.35 xGA). They were eliminated on penalties despite the stronger chance profile.

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