Portugal 0–1 Spain

Knockout xG verdict

Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.77–0.60 xG), winning 0–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Portugal vs Spain?
Spain won 1–0 and advanced. The xG was Portugal 0.60, Spain 1.77.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Portugal vs Spain?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.77–0.60 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Portugal 0–1 Spain fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.77–0.60 xG). Match xPts: Portugal 0.58, Spain 2.19. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Score0–1
Expected goals (xG)Portugal 0.60 · Spain 1.77
Match xPtsPortugal 0.58 · Spain 2.19
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankPortugal FIFA #5 (5th of 48) · Spain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Portugal vs Spain?

Spain created the better chances — 1.77–0.60 xG, an edge of 1.17. And Spain duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Portugal 0.58 and Spain 2.19; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Portugal lucky or unlucky?

Portugal were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.60 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.77 xGA faced. Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.77 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.60 xGA faced. They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

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