Czechia 1–1 South Africa

The xG verdict

An even contest (1.02–1.38 xG) finished 1–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Czechia vs South Africa?
It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Czechia 1.02, South Africa 1.38.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Czechia vs South Africa?
South Africa created the better chances (1.38–1.02 xG), but the match finished 1–1.
Fair resultWas Czechia 1–1 South Africa fair by xG?
Not fully. South Africa had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
South Africa took only 1 point from 1.62 xPts (Δ -0.62), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Czechia 1–1 South Africa a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly. South Africa entered 40th of 48 in the World Cup field; Czechia entered 32nd of 48. The lower-ranked side did not win, but it did lead the xG battle 1.38–1.02.
Score1–1
Expected goals (xG)Czechia 1.02 · South Africa 1.38
Expected points (xPts)Czechia 1.10 · South Africa 1.62
StageGroup A
Published FIFA rankCzechia FIFA #40 (32nd of 48) · South Africa FIFA #60 (40th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Czechia vs South Africa?

South Africa created the better chances — 1.38–1.02 xG, an edge of 0.36. But it finished 1–1, South Africa unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Czechia earned 1.10 and South Africa 1.62 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.10 for Czechia, -0.62 for South Africa).

Was Czechia lucky or unlucky?

Czechia were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.02 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.38 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.10).

Was South Africa lucky or unlucky?

South Africa were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.38 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.02 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.62).

What Czechia 1–1 South Africa means for Group A

Czechia sit 4th in Group A on 1 point (2.18 xPts, Δ -1.18); South Africa sit 2nd on 4 points (3.47 xPts, Δ +0.53). See the full Group A table →

18 June xG recap · Czechia · South Africa · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results