World Cup 2026 xG story · 18 June
Canada 6–0 Qatar: a rout the expected goals fully back up
Canada's six goals were no smash-and-grab. The host nation controlled the chances almost completely and finished ruthlessly — a scoreline the expected goals endorse from front to back.
- Score: Canada 6–0 Qatar
- xG: Canada 4.60–0.22 Qatar
- xPts: Canada 2.93, Qatar 0.03
- Points swing: Canada Δ +0.07, Qatar Δ -0.03
Quick answers
- Who won Canada vs Qatar?
- Canada won 6–0. The xG was Canada 4.60, Qatar 0.22.
- What was the xG in Canada vs Qatar?
- Canada finished with 4.60 xG and Qatar with 0.22 xG.
- Was Canada 6–0 Qatar fair by xG?
- Canada created the better chances — 4.60–0.22 xG, an edge of 4.38. And Canada duly won 6–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Canada earned 2.93 and Qatar 0.03 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.07 for Canada, -0.03 for Qatar).
Total control by the numbers
Lopsided scorelines can still hide a fortunate margin. This one does not. Canada manufactured the overwhelming share of the chance quality while conceding next to nothing, so even the heavy 6–0 result sits close to — rather than ahead of — what the play deserved. The finishing was sharp, but the platform underneath it was just as decisive.
What the expected goals say
Canada created the better chances — 4.60–0.22 xG, an edge of 4.38. And Canada duly won 6–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Canada earned 2.93 and Qatar 0.03 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.07 for Canada, -0.03 for Qatar).
How each side fared
Canada were clinical in front of goal — 6 goals from 4.60 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.22 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.07).
Qatar were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.22 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 6 from only 4.60 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.03).
What it means for the tournament luck table
See the full Canada vs Qatar xG breakdown, the Canada luck tracker and Qatar luck tracker, or put it in context against the biggest xG robberies, the unluckiest teams and the overperformers of the World Cup 2026.