Brazil 1–2 Norway
Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG) but were knocked out 1–2; Norway advanced against the xG run.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Brazil vs Norway?
- Norway won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was Brazil 2.61, Norway 1.05.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Brazil vs Norway?
- Brazil had the better xG profile, leading the chance quality 2.61–1.05, but Norway won 2–1.
- Fair resultWas Brazil 1–2 Norway fair by xG?
- No. Norway won the scoreboard, but Brazil had the stronger xG profile.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Norway advanced, but Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG). Match xPts: Brazil 2.29, Norway 0.55. In knockouts, xPts is chance context only; the score decides who advances.
- Ranking contextWas Brazil 1–2 Norway a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Yes on the scoreboard, but not by xG. Norway entered 28th of 48 in the World Cup field; Brazil entered 6th of 48. Norway advanced after Brazil 1–2 Norway, while the xG was 1.05–2.61 from the lower-ranked team's view.
Brazil eliminated despite 2.61-1.05 xG edge: Norway beat Brazil 2-1; Brazil had the stronger chance profile, but Norway advanced from a lower-xG night.
| Score | 1–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Brazil 2.61 · Norway 1.05 |
| Match xPts | Brazil 2.29 · Norway 0.55 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Brazil FIFA #6 (6th of 48) · Norway FIFA #31 (28th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil created the better chances — 2.61–1.05 xG, an edge of 1.56. Yet Norway won 2–1, a result that defied the expected goals. Match xPts were Brazil 2.29 and Norway 0.55; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Brazil lucky or unlucky?
Brazil were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 2.61 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.05 xGA faced. They were eliminated despite the stronger chance profile.
Was Norway lucky or unlucky?
Norway were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.05 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 2.61 xGA faced. They advanced despite the weaker chance profile.
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