Norway 1–2 England

Knockout xG verdict

England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.68–1.04 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Norway vs England?
England won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was Norway 0.68, England 1.04.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Norway vs England?
England had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.04–0.68 and winning 2–1.
Fair resultWas Norway 1–2 England fair by xG?
Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
England advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.04–0.68 xG). Match xPts: Norway 1.04, England 1.63. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Ranking contextWas Norway 1–2 England a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Norway entered 18th of 48 in the World Cup field; England entered 4th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.04–0.68.
Score1–2
Expected goals (xG)Norway 0.68 · England 1.04
Match xPtsNorway 1.04 · England 1.63
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankNorway FIFA #19 (18th of 48) · England FIFA #4 (4th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Norway vs England?

England created the better chances — 1.04–0.68 xG, an edge of 0.36. And England duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Norway 1.04 and England 1.63; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Norway lucky or unlucky?

Norway were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.68 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.04 xGA faced. Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

Was England lucky or unlucky?

England were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.04 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.68 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

11 July xG recap · Norway · England · knockout bracket · Full Quarter-final xG verdict · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results