France 3–0 Iraq

The xG verdict

France backed up their xG edge (2.67–0.63 xG), winning 3–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won France vs Iraq?
France won 3–0. The xG was France 2.67, Iraq 0.63.
Better xGWho had the better xG in France vs Iraq?
France had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.67–0.63 and winning 3–0.
Fair resultWas France 3–0 Iraq fair by xG?
Yes. France won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
France turned a clear xG edge (2.67–0.63) into the full three points, finishing with 2.55 xPts (Δ +0.45).
Ranking contextWas France 3–0 Iraq a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Iraq entered 39th of 48 in the World Cup field; France entered 3rd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.67–0.63.
Score3–0
Expected goals (xG)France 2.67 · Iraq 0.63
Expected points (xPts)France 2.55 · Iraq 0.32
StageGroup I
Published FIFA rankFrance FIFA #3 (3rd of 48) · Iraq FIFA #57 (39th of 48)

Who had the better xG in France vs Iraq?

France created the better chances — 2.67–0.63 xG, an edge of 2.04. And France duly won 3–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, France earned 2.55 and Iraq 0.32 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.45 for France, -0.32 for Iraq).

Was France lucky or unlucky?

France were about on script in attack — 3 from 2.67 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.63 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.45).

Was Iraq lucky or unlucky?

Iraq were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.63 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (3 from 2.67 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.32).

What France 3–0 Iraq means for Group I

France sit 1st in Group I on 9 points (6.06 xPts, Δ +2.94); Iraq sit 4th on 0 points (0.86 xPts, Δ -0.86). See the full Group I table →

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