Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands
Netherlands backed up their xG edge (1.85–0.62 xG), winning 1–3.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Tunisia vs Netherlands?
- Netherlands won 3–1. The xG was Tunisia 0.62, Netherlands 1.85.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Tunisia vs Netherlands?
- Netherlands had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.85–0.62 and winning 3–1.
- Fair resultWas Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands fair by xG?
- Yes. Netherlands won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Netherlands turned a clear xG edge (1.85–0.62) into the full three points, finishing with 2.22 xPts (Δ +0.78).
- Ranking contextWas Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Tunisia entered 35th of 48 in the World Cup field; Netherlands entered 8th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.85–0.62.
| Score | 1–3 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Tunisia 0.62 · Netherlands 1.85 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Tunisia 0.57 · Netherlands 2.22 |
| Stage | Group F |
| Published FIFA rank | Tunisia FIFA #45 (35th of 48) · Netherlands FIFA #8 (8th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Tunisia vs Netherlands?
Netherlands created the better chances — 1.85–0.62 xG, an edge of 1.23. And Netherlands duly won 3–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Tunisia earned 0.57 and Netherlands 2.22 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.57 for Tunisia, +0.78 for Netherlands).
Was Tunisia lucky or unlucky?
Tunisia were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.62 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.85 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.57).
Was Netherlands lucky or unlucky?
Netherlands were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.85 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.62 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.78).
What Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands means for Group F
Tunisia sit 4th in Group F on 0 points (1.22 xPts, Δ -1.22); Netherlands sit 1st on 7 points (6.01 xPts, Δ +0.99). See the full Group F table →
25 June xG recap · Tunisia · Netherlands · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results