Norway 3–2 Senegal

The xG verdict

Norway edged a balanced game 3–2 (2.20–1.72 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Norway vs Senegal?
Norway won 3–2. The xG was Norway 2.20, Senegal 1.72.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Norway vs Senegal?
Norway had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.20–1.72 and winning 3–2.
Fair resultWas Norway 3–2 Senegal fair by xG?
Yes. Norway won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Norway turned a clear xG edge (2.20–1.72) into the full three points, finishing with 1.68 xPts (Δ +1.32).
Ranking contextWas Norway 3–2 Senegal a published FIFA ranking upset?
Yes — and it was backed by xG. Norway entered 28th of 48 in the World Cup field; Senegal entered 14th of 48. Norway won with the scoreline Norway 3–2 Senegal and led the chance quality 2.20–1.72 xG.
Score3–2
Expected goals (xG)Norway 2.20 · Senegal 1.72
Expected points (xPts)Norway 1.68 · Senegal 1.12
StageGroup I
Published FIFA rankNorway FIFA #31 (28th of 48) · Senegal FIFA #15 (14th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Norway vs Senegal?

Norway created the better chances — 2.20–1.72 xG, an edge of 0.48. And Norway duly won 3–2, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Norway earned 1.68 and Senegal 1.12 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.32 for Norway, -1.12 for Senegal).

Was Norway lucky or unlucky?

Norway were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 2.20 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.72 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.32).

Was Senegal lucky or unlucky?

Senegal were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.72 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 2.20 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.12).

What Norway 3–2 Senegal means for Group I

Norway sit 2nd in Group I on 6 points (5.59 xPts, Δ +0.41); Senegal sit 3rd on 3 points (4.50 xPts, Δ -1.50). See the full Group I table →

22 June xG recap · Norway · Senegal · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results