France 0–2 Spain

Knockout xG verdict

Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.63–0.30 xG), winning 0–2.

Quick answers

ResultWho won France vs Spain?
Spain won 2–0 and advanced. The xG was France 0.30, Spain 1.63.
Better xGWho had the better xG in France vs Spain?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.63–0.30 and winning 2–0.
Fair resultWas France 0–2 Spain fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.63–0.30 xG). Match xPts: France 0.42, Spain 2.36. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Score0–2
Expected goals (xG)France 0.30 · Spain 1.63
Match xPtsFrance 0.42 · Spain 2.36
StageKnockout stage
Published FIFA rankFrance FIFA #3 (3rd of 48) · Spain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in France vs Spain?

Spain created the better chances — 1.63–0.30 xG, an edge of 1.33. And Spain duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were France 0.42 and Spain 2.36; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was France lucky or unlucky?

France were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.30 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.63 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.63 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.30 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.

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