World Cup 2026 semi-final · Match 101 · latest available post-match xG updated 10 July 2026, 20:57 ET

France vs Spain World Cup 2026 semi-final xG guide

France and Spain are confirmed for Match 101. This guide compares total tournament xG and each team's knockout path so far. It is not a prediction.

Kicks off July 14, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.

Quick answers

Who do France play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
France play Spain in Match 101, a semi-final. France reached it as winner of Match 97; Spain reached it as winner of Match 98. Kicks off July 14, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.
What is the France vs Spain xG guide?
France: total tournament xGF 14.34, xGA 3.83, xGD +10.51; latest knockout receipt France reached this round through France 2–0 Morocco, with 3.69-0.14 xG against Morocco. Spain: total tournament xGF 11.71, xGA 1.83, xGD +9.88; latest knockout receipt Spain reached this round through Spain 2–1 Belgium, with 1.96-0.34 xG against Belgium. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
Is this a prediction?
No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 101

France

winner of Match 97

Total xGF
14.34
Total xGA
3.83
Total xGD
+10.51
Group xPts
6.07
Group delta
+2.93
KO xG
8.38-0.97

France reached this round through France 2–0 Morocco, with 3.69-0.14 xG against Morocco.

Match 101

Spain

winner of Match 98

Total xGF
11.71
Total xGA
1.83
Total xGD
+9.88
Group xPts
7.27
Group delta
-0.27
KO xG
6.45-1.29

Spain reached this round through Spain 2–1 Belgium, with 1.96-0.34 xG against Belgium.

How they got here

France reached this slot as winner of Match 97. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 14.34, xGA 3.83, xGD +10.51; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.07 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.96, xGA 2.86, points-vs-xPts delta +2.93.

Spain reached this slot as winner of Match 98. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 11.71, xGA 1.83, xGD +9.88; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.27 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 0.54, points-vs-xPts delta -0.27.

The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · quarter-final guides · France team page · Spain team page.