Paraguay 0–0 Australia

The xG verdict

An even contest (0.24–0.55 xG) finished 0–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Paraguay vs Australia?
It finished 0–0, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Paraguay 0.24, Australia 0.55.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Paraguay vs Australia?
Australia created the better chances (0.55–0.24 xG), but the match finished 0–0.
Fair resultWas Paraguay 0–0 Australia fair by xG?
Not fully. Australia had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Australia took only 1 point from 1.58 xPts (Δ -0.58), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Paraguay 0–0 Australia a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Paraguay entered 33rd of 48 in the World Cup field; Australia entered 24th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 0.55–0.24.
Score0–0
Expected goals (xG)Paraguay 0.24 · Australia 0.55
Expected points (xPts)Paraguay 0.91 · Australia 1.58
StageGroup D
Published FIFA rankParaguay FIFA #41 (33rd of 48) · Australia FIFA #27 (24th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Paraguay vs Australia?

Australia created the better chances — 0.55–0.24 xG, an edge of 0.31. But it finished 0–0, Australia unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Paraguay earned 0.91 and Australia 1.58 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ +0.09 for Paraguay, -0.58 for Australia).

Was Paraguay lucky or unlucky?

Paraguay were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.24 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.55 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.09).

Was Australia lucky or unlucky?

Australia were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.55 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.24 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.58).

What Paraguay 0–0 Australia means for Group D

Paraguay sit 3rd in Group D on 4 points (1.88 xPts, Δ +2.12); Australia sit 2nd on 4 points (3.51 xPts, Δ +0.49). See the full Group D table →

25 June xG recap · Paraguay · Australia · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results