Turkiye 3–2 USA

The xG verdict

Turkiye backed up their xG edge (3.05–2.13 xG), winning 3–2.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Turkiye vs USA?
Turkiye won 3–2. The xG was Turkiye 3.05, USA 2.13.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Turkiye vs USA?
Turkiye had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 3.05–2.13 and winning 3–2.
Fair resultWas Turkiye 3–2 USA fair by xG?
Yes. Turkiye won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Turkiye turned a clear xG edge (3.05–2.13) into the full three points, finishing with 1.88 xPts (Δ +1.12).
Score3–2
Expected goals (xG)Turkiye 3.05 · USA 2.13
Expected points (xPts)Turkiye 1.88 · USA 0.96
StageGroup D
Published FIFA rankTurkiye FIFA #22 (20th of 48) · USA FIFA #17 (16th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Turkiye vs USA?

Turkiye created the better chances — 3.05–2.13 xG, an edge of 0.92. And Turkiye duly won 3–2, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Turkiye earned 1.88 and USA 0.96 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.12 for Turkiye, -0.96 for USA).

Was Turkiye lucky or unlucky?

Turkiye were about on script in attack — 3 from 3.05 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.13 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.12).

Was USA lucky or unlucky?

USA were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.13 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (3 from 3.05 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.96).

What Turkiye 3–2 USA means for Group D

Turkiye sit 4th in Group D on 3 points (5.94 xPts, Δ -2.94); USA sit 1st on 6 points (4.96 xPts, Δ +1.04). See the full Group D table →

25 June xG recap · Turkiye · USA · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results