Japan 1–1 Sweden

The xG verdict

An even contest (1.21–0.64 xG) finished 1–1.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Japan vs Sweden?
It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Japan 1.21, Sweden 0.64.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Japan vs Sweden?
Japan created the better chances (1.21–0.64 xG), but the match finished 1–1.
Fair resultWas Japan 1–1 Sweden fair by xG?
Not fully. Japan had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Japan took only 1 point from 1.80 xPts (Δ -0.80), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Japan 1–1 Sweden a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Sweden entered 31st of 48 in the World Cup field; Japan entered 17th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 1.21–0.64.
Score1–1
Expected goals (xG)Japan 1.21 · Sweden 0.64
Expected points (xPts)Japan 1.80 · Sweden 0.89
StageGroup F
Published FIFA rankJapan FIFA #18 (17th of 48) · Sweden FIFA #38 (31st of 48)

Who had the better xG in Japan vs Sweden?

Japan created the better chances — 1.21–0.64 xG, an edge of 0.57. But it finished 1–1, Japan unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Japan earned 1.80 and Sweden 0.89 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.80 for Japan, +0.11 for Sweden).

Was Japan lucky or unlucky?

Japan were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.21 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.64 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.80).

Was Sweden lucky or unlucky?

Sweden were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.64 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.21 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.11).

What Japan 1–1 Sweden means for Group F

Japan sit 2nd in Group F on 5 points (5.67 xPts, Δ -0.67); Sweden sit 3rd on 4 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +0.37). See the full Group F table →

25 June xG recap · Japan · Sweden · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results