Latest post-match xG · updated 30 July 2026, 12:26 ET
World Cup 2026 xG Dashboard & Visualizer
The visual way to track goals vs xG, points vs xPts, and which World Cup 2026 teams are lucky, unlucky, overperforming, or underperforming.
This World Cup 2026 xG luck dashboard shows which teams are scoring more than expected, conceding fewer than expected, or deserving better results across all xG-backed matches so far. By default it plots finishing luck (Goals − xG) against defensive luck (xGA − Goals against) — not raw xG vs goals — though either axis is switchable. Each dot is a team; the crosshair sits at the field average.
How to read the xG visualizer
- Horizontal — finishing luck (goals − xG): right of centre means a team is scoring more than its chances were worth; left means it is wasting chances.
- Vertical — defensive luck (xGA − goals against): up means a team is conceding fewer goals than the chances it allows; down means it is leaking more than expected.
- Bottom-left = deserved better (unlucky); top-right = riding their luck.
Switch either axis to compare other metrics, toggle totals vs per-game, and click a team to highlight it.
What else you can explore
- Group standings by expected points (xPts) — real points vs what the chances deserved.
- The unluckiest teams and the biggest overperformers.
- Match center — every game's xG next to the actual scoreline.
- Methodology — how expected points are calculated.
xGQuadrant is an independent visualization built on public post-match xG; expected points (xPts) is our own Poisson model. Different xG providers can value the same chance differently, so figures here may differ from other public sources. Best used as directional analysis — especially early in the tournament, when xG is still noisy.