England 4–2 Croatia
England backed up their xG edge (3.20–0.70 xG), winning 4–2.
| Score | 4–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | England 3.20 · Croatia 0.70 |
| Expected points (xPts) | England 2.65 · Croatia 0.25 |
| Group | Group L |
Who deserved to win England vs Croatia by xG?
England created the better chances — 3.20–0.70 xG, an edge of 2.50. And England duly won 4–2, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, England earned 2.65 and Croatia 0.25 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.35 for England, -0.25 for Croatia).
Was England lucky or unlucky?
England were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 3.20 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.70 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.35).
Was Croatia lucky or unlucky?
Croatia were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.70 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 3.20 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.25).
What England 4–2 Croatia means for Group L
England sit 1st in Group L on 3 points (2.65 xPts, Δ +0.35); Croatia sit 4th on 0 points (0.25 xPts, Δ -0.25). See the full Group L table →