Iraq 1–4 Norway
Norway backed up their xG edge (0.80–2.52 xG), winning 1–4.
| Score | 1–4 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Iraq 0.80 · Norway 2.52 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Iraq 0.45 · Norway 2.40 |
| Group | Group I |
Who deserved to win Iraq vs Norway by xG?
Norway created the better chances — 0.80–2.52 xG, an edge of 1.72. And Norway duly won 1–4, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Iraq earned 0.45 and Norway 2.40 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.45 for Iraq, +0.60 for Norway).
Was Iraq lucky or unlucky?
Iraq were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.80 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 2.52 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.45).
Was Norway lucky or unlucky?
Norway were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 2.52 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.80 xGA). A deserved return for the better side on the day (Δ +0.60).
What Iraq 1–4 Norway means for Group I
Iraq sit 4th in Group I on 0 points (0.45 xPts, Δ -0.45); Norway sit 1st on 3 points (2.40 xPts, Δ +0.60). See the full Group I table →