Scotland 01 Morocco

The xG verdict

Morocco edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.54–0.97 xG).

Quick answers

Deserved winnerWho deserved to win Scotland vs Morocco?
Morocco deserved the result by xG, creating the better chances 0.97–0.54 and winning 0–1.
Fair resultWas Scotland 0–1 Morocco fair by xG?
Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Morocco turned a clear xG edge (0.97–0.54) into the full three points, finishing with 1.70 xPts (Δ +1.30).
Score01
Expected goals (xG)Scotland 0.54 · Morocco 0.97
Expected points (xPts)Scotland 0.95 · Morocco 1.70
GroupGroup C

Who deserved to win Scotland vs Morocco by xG?

Morocco created the better chances — 0.54–0.97 xG, an edge of 0.43. And Morocco duly won 0–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Scotland earned 0.95 and Morocco 1.70 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.95 for Scotland, +1.30 for Morocco).

Was Scotland lucky or unlucky?

Scotland were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.54 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.97 xGA). On balance they deserved more (Δ -0.95).

Was Morocco lucky or unlucky?

Morocco were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.97 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.54 xGA faced. A deserved return for the better side on the day (Δ +1.30).

What Scotland 01 Morocco means for Group C

Scotland sit 2nd in Group C on 3 points (2.30 xPts, Δ +0.70); Morocco sit 1st on 4 points (3.14 xPts, Δ +0.86). See the full Group C table →

19 June xG recap · Scotland · Morocco · ← All results