Brazil eliminated despite 2.61-1.05 xG edge
Norway beat Brazil 2-1; Brazil had the stronger chance profile, but Norway advanced from a lower-xG night.
World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 91 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET
Match 91 has a post-match xG result: Brazil 1–2 Norway. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.
Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG) but were knocked out 1–2; Norway advanced against the xG run.
Full match page: Brazil 1–2 Norway
The bracket result stands because Norway advanced 2-1, but the xG case was stronger for Brazil, who led the match xG 2.61-1.05. By chances, Norway advanced against the xG profile.
Norway beat Brazil 2-1; Brazil had the stronger chance profile, but Norway advanced from a lower-xG night.
Brazil 2–1 Japan.
Match xG: Brazil 2.07 · Japan 0.33
Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway.
Match xG: Ivory Coast 1.49 · Norway 1.90
Brazil reached this round through Brazil 2–1 Japan, with 2.07-0.33 xG against Japan.
Norway reached this round through Norway 1–2 England, with 0.68-1.04 xG against England.
Brazil reached this slot as winner of Match 76. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 12.02, xGA 4.02, xGD +8.00; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 6.49 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.34, xGA 2.64, points-vs-xPts Δ +0.51.
Norway reached this slot as winner of Match 78. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 10.05, xGA 9.16, xGD +0.89; the group-stage baseline was 6 group points, 5.59 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.42, xGA 4.02, points-vs-xPts Δ +0.41.
The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.
More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Brazil team page · Norway team page.