World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 91 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Brazil 1–2 Norway xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 result

Match 91 has a post-match xG result: Brazil 1–2 Norway. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Round of 16 result

Norway advanced from Match 91

Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG) but were knocked out 1–2; Norway advanced against the xG run.

Score
1-2
xG
2.61-1.05
Match xPts
2.29-0.55

Full match page: Brazil 1–2 Norway

xG verdict

Did Norway deserve to beat Brazil by xG?

The bracket result stands because Norway advanced 2-1, but the xG case was stronger for Brazil, who led the match xG 2.61-1.05. By chances, Norway advanced against the xG profile.

Quick answers

Who won Brazil vs Norway at the World Cup 2026?
Norway beat Brazil in Match 91 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was Brazil 1–2 Norway; the xG was Brazil 2.61 · Norway 1.05.
Did Norway deserve to beat Brazil by xG?
The bracket result stands because Norway advanced 2-1, but the xG case was stronger for Brazil, who led the match xG 2.61-1.05. By chances, Norway advanced against the xG profile.
What was the xG in Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil 2.61 · Norway 1.05. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Brazil 2.29 and Norway 0.55.

Relevant xG stories

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 91

Brazil

winner of Match 76

Total xGF
12.02
Total xGA
4.02
Total xGD
+8.00
Group xPts
6.49
Group Δ
+0.51
KO xG
4.68-1.38

Brazil reached this round through Brazil 2–1 Japan, with 2.07-0.33 xG against Japan.

Match 91

Norway

winner of Match 78

Total xGF
10.05
Total xGA
9.16
Total xGD
+0.89
Group xPts
5.59
Group Δ
+0.41
KO xG
3.63-5.14

Norway reached this round through Norway 1–2 England, with 0.68-1.04 xG against England.

How they got here

Brazil reached this slot as winner of Match 76. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 12.02, xGA 4.02, xGD +8.00; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 6.49 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.34, xGA 2.64, points-vs-xPts Δ +0.51.

Norway reached this slot as winner of Match 78. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 10.05, xGA 9.16, xGD +0.89; the group-stage baseline was 6 group points, 5.59 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.42, xGA 4.02, points-vs-xPts Δ +0.41.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Brazil team page · Norway team page.