World Cup 2026 third-place match · Match 103 · latest available post-match xG updated 15 July 2026, 17:58 ET

France vs England World Cup 2026 third-place match xG guide

France and England are confirmed for Match 103. This guide compares total tournament xG and each team's knockout path so far. It is not a prediction.

Kicks off July 18, 5pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.

Quick answers

Who do France play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
France play England in Match 103, a third-place match. France reached it as loser of Match 101; England reached it as loser of Match 102. Kicks off July 18, 5pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.
What is the France vs England xG guide?
France: total tournament xGF 14.65, xGA 5.46, xGD +9.19; latest knockout receipt France reached this round through France 0–2 Spain, with 0.31-1.63 xG against Spain. England: total tournament xGF 11.46, xGA 6.70, xGD +4.76; latest knockout receipt England reached this round through England 1–2 Argentina, with 0.53-1.84 xG against Argentina. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
Is this a prediction?
No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 103

France

loser of Match 101

Total xGF
14.65
Total xGA
5.46
Total xGD
+9.19
Group xPts
6.07
Group delta
+2.93
KO xG
8.69-2.60

France reached this round through France 0–2 Spain, with 0.31-1.63 xG against Spain.

Match 103

England

loser of Match 102

Total xGF
11.46
Total xGA
6.70
Total xGD
+4.76
Group xPts
7.01
Group delta
-0.01
KO xG
5.34-5.17

England reached this round through England 1–2 Argentina, with 0.53-1.84 xG against Argentina.

How they got here

France reached this slot as loser of Match 101. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 14.65, xGA 5.46, xGD +9.19; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.07 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.96, xGA 2.86, points-vs-xPts delta +2.93.

England reached this slot as loser of Match 102. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 11.46, xGA 6.70, xGD +4.76; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.01 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 1.53, points-vs-xPts delta -0.01.

The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · semi-final guides · France team page · England team page.