Spain reached this round through France
France 0–2 Spain.
Match xG: France 0.31 · Spain 1.63
World Cup 2026 final · Match 104 · latest available post-match xG updated 15 July 2026, 17:58 ET
Spain vs Argentina World Cup 2026 final xG guide
Spain and Argentina are confirmed for Match 104. This guide compares total tournament xG and each team's knockout path so far. It is not a prediction.
Kicks off July 19, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.
Quick answers
- Who do Spain play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
- Spain play Argentina in Match 104, a final. Spain reached it as winner of Match 101; Argentina reached it as winner of Match 102. Kicks off July 19, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.
- What is the Spain vs Argentina xG guide?
- Spain: total tournament xGF 13.34, xGA 2.14, xGD +11.20; latest knockout receipt Spain reached this round through France 0–2 Spain, with 1.63-0.31 xG against France. Argentina: total tournament xGF 14.63, xGA 3.97, xGD +10.66; latest knockout receipt Argentina reached this round through England 1–2 Argentina, with 1.84-0.53 xG against England. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
- Is this a prediction?
- No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.
Path so far
Argentina reached this round through England
England 1–2 Argentina.
Match xG: England 0.53 · Argentina 1.84
Tournament xG form
- Total xGF
- 13.34
- Total xGA
- 2.14
- Total xGD
- +11.20
- Group xPts
- 7.27
- Group delta
- -0.27
- KO xG
- 8.08-1.60
Spain reached this round through France 0–2 Spain, with 1.63-0.31 xG against France.
- Total xGF
- 14.63
- Total xGA
- 3.97
- Total xGD
- +10.66
- Group xPts
- 6.88
- Group delta
- +2.12
- KO xG
- 8.88-2.36
Argentina reached this round through England 1–2 Argentina, with 1.84-0.53 xG against England.
How they got here
Spain reached this slot as winner of Match 101. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 13.34, xGA 2.14, xGD +11.20; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.27 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 0.54, points-vs-xPts delta -0.27.
Argentina reached this slot as winner of Match 102. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 14.63, xGA 3.97, xGD +10.66; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.88 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.75, xGA 1.61, points-vs-xPts delta +2.12.
The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.
More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · semi-final guides · Spain team page · Argentina team page.