World Cup 2026 final · Match 104 · latest available post-match xG updated 23 August 2026, 09:57 ET

Spain 1–0 Argentina xG: World Cup 2026 final result

Match 104 has a post-match xG result: Spain 1–0 Argentina. This page leads with the actual bracket result and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Final result

Spain won the World Cup 2026 final

Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.

Score
1-0
xG
2.29-0.22
Match xPts
2.67-0.20

Full match page: Spain 1–0 Argentina

xG verdict

Did Spain deserve to win the World Cup final by xG?

Yes. Spain won the World Cup 2026 final 1-0 and also led the match xG 2.29-0.22. On chance quality, the result was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Spain vs Argentina at the World Cup 2026?
Spain won the World Cup 2026 final against Argentina in Match 104. The score was Spain 1–0 Argentina; the xG was Spain 2.29 · Argentina 0.22.
Did Spain deserve to win the World Cup final by xG?
Yes. Spain won the World Cup 2026 final 1-0 and also led the match xG 2.29-0.22. On chance quality, the result was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Spain vs Argentina?
Spain 2.29 · Argentina 0.22. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Spain 2.67 and Argentina 0.20.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 104

Spain

winner of Match 101

Total xGF
15.63
Total xGA
2.36
Total xGD
+13.27
Group xPts
7.27
Group delta
-0.27
KO xG
10.37-1.82

Spain reached this round through France 0–2 Spain, with 1.63-0.31 xG against France.

Match 104

Argentina

winner of Match 102

Total xGF
14.60
Total xGA
6.26
Total xGD
+8.34
Group xPts
6.88
Group delta
+2.12
KO xG
8.85-4.65

Argentina reached this round through England 1–2 Argentina, with 1.59-0.53 xG against England.

How they got here

Spain reached this slot as winner of Match 101. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 15.63, xGA 2.36, xGD +13.27; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.27 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 0.54, points-vs-xPts delta -0.27.

Argentina reached this slot as winner of Match 102. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 14.60, xGA 6.26, xGD +8.34; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.88 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.75, xGA 1.61, points-vs-xPts delta +2.12.

The knockout score decides the bracket. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · semi-final guides · Spain team page · Argentina team page.