Brazil 2–1 Japan
Brazil advanced with an xG edge (2.07–0.33 xG), winning 2–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Brazil vs Japan?
- Brazil won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was Brazil 2.07, Japan 0.33.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Brazil vs Japan?
- Brazil had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.07–0.33 and winning 2–1.
- Fair resultWas Brazil 2–1 Japan fair by xG?
- Yes. Brazil won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Brazil advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.07–0.33 xG). Match xPts: Brazil 2.53, Japan 0.31. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
- Ranking contextWas Brazil 2–1 Japan a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Japan entered 17th of 48 in the World Cup field; Brazil entered 6th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.07–0.33.
| Score | 2–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Brazil 2.07 · Japan 0.33 |
| Match xPts | Brazil 2.53 · Japan 0.31 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Brazil FIFA #6 (6th of 48) · Japan FIFA #18 (17th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Brazil vs Japan?
Brazil created the better chances — 2.07–0.33 xG, an edge of 1.74. And Brazil duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Brazil 2.53 and Japan 0.31; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Brazil lucky or unlucky?
Brazil were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.07 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.33 xGA faced. They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
Was Japan lucky or unlucky?
Japan were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.33 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.07 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
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