England 4–2 Croatia
England backed up their xG edge (3.20–0.70 xG), winning 4–2.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won England vs Croatia?
- England won 4–2. The xG was England 3.20, Croatia 0.70.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in England vs Croatia?
- England had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 3.20–0.70 and winning 4–2.
- Fair resultWas England 4–2 Croatia fair by xG?
- Yes. England won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- England turned a clear xG edge (3.20–0.70) into the full three points, finishing with 2.65 xPts (Δ +0.35).
| Score | 4–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | England 3.20 · Croatia 0.70 |
| Expected points (xPts) | England 2.65 · Croatia 0.25 |
| Stage | Group L |
| Published FIFA rank | England FIFA #4 (4th of 48) · Croatia FIFA #11 (11th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in England vs Croatia?
England created the better chances — 3.20–0.70 xG, an edge of 2.50. And England duly won 4–2, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, England earned 2.65 and Croatia 0.25 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.35 for England, -0.25 for Croatia).
Was England lucky or unlucky?
England were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 3.20 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.70 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.35).
Was Croatia lucky or unlucky?
Croatia were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.70 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 3.20 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.25).
What England 4–2 Croatia means for Group L
England sit 1st in Group L on 7 points (7.01 xPts, Δ -0.01); Croatia sit 2nd on 6 points (3.47 xPts, Δ +2.53). See the full Group L table →
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