North & Central American (CONCACAF) teams at the World Cup 2026 — xG & group-stage expected points
6 CONCACAF teams · 6 with group-stage xG
Of the CONCACAF (North & Central America) sides at the 2026 World Cup, Mexico most outperformed their group-stage expected points (Δ +3.32), while Panama have been the unluckiest (Δ -2.27). The table ranks every team by group points, with group-stage expected points (xPts) showing who over- or under-performed.
Schedule context: Haiti faced the strongest group-stage published-rank opposition among CONCACAF teams, with an average opponent field rank of 15.3 / 48 and FIFA #18.7 globally; trailed xG against a strong opponent field.
| # | Team | Grp | P | Pts | Group xPts | Δ | Group xGD/g | Avg opp field | Avg opp FIFA | xG vs schedule read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | A | 3 | 9 | 5.68 | +3.32 | +0.74 | 33.3 / 48 | #43.7 | led xG against a lighter opponent field |
| 2 | USA | D | 3 | 6 | 4.96 | +1.04 | +0.23 | 27.3 / 48 | #30.0 | led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 3 | Canada | B | 3 | 4 | 6.24 | -2.24 | +1.73 | 30.0 / 48 | #43.0 | led xG against a lighter opponent field |
| 4 | Curacao | E | 3 | 1 | 1.01 | -0.01 | -2.32 | 20.7 / 48 | #22.0 | trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 5 | Panama | L | 3 | 0 | 2.27 | -2.27 | -0.84 | 20.7 / 48 | #29.3 | trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 6 | Haiti | C | 3 | 0 | 2.01 | -2.01 | -1.35 | 15.3 / 48 | #18.7 | trailed xG against a strong opponent field |
Compare all confederations by group-stage xG →