European (UEFA) teams at the World Cup 2026 — xG & expected points
16 UEFA teams · 16 underway
Of the UEFA (Europe) sides at the 2026 World Cup, Scotland have most outperformed their expected points (Δ +1.65), while Switzerland have been the unluckiest (Δ -1.70). The table ranks every team by points, with expected points (xPts) showing who is over- or under-performing.
| # | Team | Grp | P | Pts | xPts | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | E | 1 | 3 | 2.89 | +0.11 |
| 2 | England | L | 1 | 3 | 2.65 | +0.35 |
| 3 | Norway | I | 1 | 3 | 2.40 | +0.60 |
| 4 | France | I | 1 | 3 | 2.26 | +0.74 |
| 5 | Austria | J | 1 | 3 | 2.26 | +0.74 |
| 6 | Sweden | F | 1 | 3 | 2.21 | +0.79 |
| 7 | Scotland | C | 1 | 3 | 1.35 | +1.65 |
| 8 | Switzerland | B | 1 | 1 | 2.70 | -1.70 |
| 9 | Spain | H | 1 | 1 | 2.62 | -1.62 |
| 10 | Belgium | G | 1 | 1 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 11 | Netherlands | F | 1 | 1 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 12 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | 1 | 1 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 13 | Portugal | K | 1 | 1 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 14 | Turkiye | D | 1 | 0 | 1.49 | -1.49 |
| 15 | Czechia | A | 1 | 0 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| 16 | Croatia | L | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | -0.25 |