African (CAF) teams at the World Cup 2026 — xG & group-stage expected points
10 CAF teams · 10 with group-stage xG
Of the CAF (Africa) sides at the 2026 World Cup, Egypt most outperformed their group-stage expected points (Δ +1.37), while Senegal have been the unluckiest (Δ -1.50). The table ranks every team by group points, with group-stage expected points (xPts) showing who over- or under-performed.
Schedule context: Ghana faced the strongest group-stage published-rank opposition among CAF teams, with an average opponent field rank of 17.0 / 48 and FIFA #20.3 globally; level on xG against a strong opponent field.
| # | Team | Grp | P | Pts | Group xPts | Δ | Group xGD/g | Avg opp field | Avg opp FIFA | xG vs schedule read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | C | 3 | 7 | 5.75 | +1.25 | +1.04 | 28.7 / 48 | #45.0 | led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | E | 3 | 6 | 4.69 | +1.31 | +0.22 | 27.0 / 48 | #39.7 | led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 3 | Egypt | G | 3 | 5 | 3.63 | +1.37 | -0.26 | 25.0 / 48 | #38.7 | trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 4 | DR Congo | K | 3 | 4 | 4.93 | -0.93 | +0.53 | 19.3 / 48 | #26.0 | led xG against a strong opponent field |
| 5 | Algeria | J | 3 | 4 | 4.31 | -0.31 | +0.17 | 22.7 / 48 | #32.7 | level on xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 6 | Ghana | L | 3 | 4 | 3.66 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 17.0 / 48 | #20.3 | level on xG against a strong opponent field |
| 7 | South Africa | A | 3 | 4 | 3.47 | +0.53 | -0.26 | 24.7 / 48 | #30.0 | trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 8 | Senegal | I | 3 | 3 | 4.50 | -1.50 | +0.38 | 21.0 / 48 | #28.3 | led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| 9 | Cape Verde | H | 3 | 3 | 2.93 | +0.07 | -0.78 | 19.3 / 48 | #26.3 | trailed xG against a strong opponent field |
| 10 | Tunisia | F | 3 | 0 | 1.22 | -1.22 | -1.45 | 18.7 / 48 | #21.0 | trailed xG against a strong opponent field |
Compare all confederations by group-stage xG →